I mean, the balls roll off the green; they go pretty far away. Max Homa 4. I love playing in this stuff. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Not a good week. Nut Hut Members Have Won Over $3.9 Million Since June 2020! For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup. In 2021, Bryson DeChambeau came . In windy conditions, the ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key to success. The Englishman has gained 1.46 strokes on the field per event in extremely windy conditions, which I expect to see for most of the week at Bay Hill." - Matt Vincenzi Sign me up on Willy Z! SG: Wind is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on a day where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph. The forecast for Thursday, Friday is wind. My expertise is working with everyone from beginners to pros, We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. If you dont compress the ball, if you start coming out of it, start hitting these short weak right shots, the balls going to do whatever it wants to do in the air. In this case, that's 1.5-1 = 0.5. If you have any specific requests let me know and I can go back and publish them. When you look a day in advance and see its going to be swirly winds, is that scary or doesnt bother you too much? Q. Do you mind updating this report to include last weeks data? Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. JT 4. Dustin Johnson (3.06 sg:total) I wasnt a very good wind player, and I switched golf balls and I know its kind of like a Titleist commercial, but honestly, when I switched, I was 90th in the world. But, which players offer good value from a derivative markets standpoint? Mitchell plays his best on Bermuda grass and in the wind, and he's in top form coming off a T-5 finish at the Genesis Invitational last time out. I have to unlock them manually. So I was really struggling with that. You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively. Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. Its kind of cool to be able to come and have such tough driving holes as well. This is a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club you may need when hitting into a headwind. Justin Rose (2.597 sg:total) Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. Peter Uihlein, Talor Gooch tied for lead at Mayakoba. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. Second, a compact stroke is more likely to get the ball into the cup when putting on uphill or slow, bumpy greens. As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. This is a tough golf course and you throw that kind of wind in there. Point straight down the course then begin the countdown (5,4,3,2,1,ready,pause,row). Let's talk stats. Jason Kokrak (1.014 sg:wind vs. 1.444 sg:total) Sure thing. Youre having a laugh! Matt. Over the three tournaments he's gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start. -2017 Valero, Q. I didnt quite think it was going to be up to kind of 25 mile an hour wind. In terms of the custom model, the Northern Irishman ranks sixth, fifth and first in the 12-, 24- and 50-round models, respectively. I can still find your 2017 (and older) previews, but 2018 (as you mentioned) needs to be unlocked. * Minimum 30 rounds to qualify. How you were you handling the breezes? We grow up in this kind of stuff. Branden Grace (1.168 sg:wind vs. 1.511 sg:total) My favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a player on the rise who is seeking his first outright win at Bay Hill. https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, This is fantastic and the fact you keep updating it is a rare site on the internet. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. If you are a 20 handicap, you get 20 strokes for the round. Tyrrell Hatton (1.386 sg:wind vs. 1.778 sg:total) Xander Schauffele opens with a 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Scottsdale. Required fields are marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. Can you please refresh your Performance in Cold Weather sheet? highlighted by 4.2 strokes gained off the tee and 6 . So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. When you enjoy playing on certain golf courses or certain conditions its easy to play well. Ive only been around it once now, but very much demanding of the tee ball. Call 1-800-522-4700 (CO). Alex Prugh (-0.076 sg:wind vs. 0.314 sg:total) Awful, right? Kiradech Aphibarnrat (0.858 sg:wind vs. 1.236 sg:total) Are you kind of a wind sort of player? Paul Casey (2.393 sg:total) This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Schauffele hit 15 greens in regulation and gained more than two strokes approaching the green on Day 1. The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. Max Homa: $11,600 Is there anyway we can get an update on this document; looks like 4.3.17 was the last update? J.T. Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? Small, firm, and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a great deal of frustration for players. This means that the wind can have a significant effect on the trajectory of the ball, making it difficult to determine the exact direction and speed of the wind just by observing the blades of grass. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. Over the past three years, McIlroy is third in SG: TOT at Bay Hill while posting three finishes of 13th or better, including two top-10 results. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support, You have to hit the ball straight off the tee to have a chance this week. Well, we produced a winner, so we followed it up with.. well, this. The wind doesnt bother you that much; what is it, you have low trajectory normally? He finished T13 at the Players, the MC'd at the Masters. A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. McIIroy 5. Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate . A few crooked digits around the Stadium Course could result . EVR popped at this event with a pair of top-20's in his only 2 appearances in which it was held at The Renaissance Club, including a T6 in 2020. So sure, the wind definitely blows in Texas. This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. I enjoy that. Can you please update this report? Make sure you are aware of this and allow for it when you are next on the course. Bogey avoidance: Keeping the big numbers off the scorecard this week is going to be vital. Arnold Palmer . Is there anyway to access the ones a bit older? Are you a mudder? Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. The gap seems to widen as handicaps get higher. Other factors include strength, flexibility, and experience. Ryan Blaum (0.288 sg:wind vs. 0.715 sg:total) Roberto Diaz (0.896 sg:wind vs. 0.124 sg:total) There is no doubt that Mickey Wright had one of the best swings in golf history. His average strokes gained per round actually increases by .438 strokes on difficult layouts and by 1.24 strokes in heavily windy conditions. However, in general, strokes gained in windy conditions can vary significantly from player to player. DJ 12. Jason Day 5. Look, I think Im a good wind player. -2017 Colonial, Q. T17, T10, and T24 finishes in his previous three appearances suggest that we may see Homa atop the leaderboard at some point this weekend, so dont miss out and add him into as many DFS lineups as possible ahead of Thursdays opening round. Scott 7. Im 9. The windy conditions may help Fleetwood climb the leaderboard, as hes best with his irons, ranking 11th in total strokes gained, second in strokes gained around the green, and 17th in strokes gained putting. The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. Realign and repeat a third time, and hopefully get to 'row' away this time, but only if the . Strokes Gained Putting Lightning-Fast Bermuda Greens (Last 36 Rounds) Beau Hossler 40.9; Zach Johnson 33.1; Matt Fitzpatrick 31; Sam Burns 26.7; . I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. Hi Josh Q. Jon Rahm (+700) is an unsurprising favorite with 2022 champion Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both at +950. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. On a day like today, attitude surely plays a big part, right? 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) Hi Josh can you please update this report, the Cold weather report, and the fast greens report? I like the place. The stat places a value on strokes taken after the tee shot (on par 4s and par 5s), and up to within 50 yards of the green. There was no way to comment on the other page, so can you update https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar? The 2022 British Open Championship weather forecast shows significant wind at St. Andrews and the Old Course and little chance for rain all week Hes 61st in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens. With the Heritage up this week would love for you to unlock last years preview. Star-studded fields in PGA Tour events often equate to massive value opportunities for acquiring good players at a fraction of the cost in DFS lineups. That is exceptionally high for an event, and it was strictly a DP World Tour event prior to this year. Thank you. The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) Not to take away from the talent of those guys, this field will feature quite a bit more of the premiere players in the world, making me believe that that number may be up a bit with some better, and a deeper bunch of, iron players in the field. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure a second straight top-20 finish. Which statistic other than Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green are you weighing most? Its a field of the Tours most exciting and talented players, ranging from betting favorite Jon Rahm to former winners Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to 13 feet via the Stimpmeter. D.J. Trying to hit different golf shots rather than just always hitting it straight. In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player's performance. Scott Piercy (1.663 sg:wind vs. 1.268 sg:total) -2018 CC of Jackson. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. Looking at the forecast last night, we knew it was going to be a stiff wind. -2017 OHL Classic, Q. In Conclusion You seem to play well in Hawaii. He is also a great putter. SYNOP codes from weather stations and buoys. I like playing in the wind, I like it more than the normal guys out there. Attempting to walk in 60-70mph winds is dangerous, and there is a high risk of being blown over and suffering injury. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. But once you start swinging it well, like hitting it into the wind really shows you how you are hitting the golf ball because its going to only maximize your dispersion. I find it difficult to believe Mc Ilroy is the best wind player. Wind Anti-Specialists Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. If youre scraping it a little bit its harder. He gained an impressive eight strokes on approach. A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. METAR, TAF and NOTAMs for any airport in the World. Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero). Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. RICKIE FOWLER: I like the golf course. BRANDEN GRACE: You know, you have to be precise, you have to pretty much work out a plan attacking the greens. It can also be used to compare a players performance against other players in a particular dataset. D.J. Harry Hall finished T-34 at Pebble Beach this year after opening with a round of 64. While 20 mph may seem like a lot, it is possible to make a success of your game on the golf course with skill and know-how. I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Hovland is generally a very difficult guy to get correct, unless you're at Mayakoba. What about this course suits you? -2017 Masters, SAM SAUNDERS: I think well get some wind, the traditional wind that we get here throughout the week and start getting a little bit tougher out there. That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. I probably need to prepare more for calm conditions, get my launch up where for this, it feels like home. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. The last time we saw Southern Hills host a major championship was the PGA Championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8. Part of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event. Jon Rahm (2.491 sg:total) Casey 10. Southern Hills Country Club is a par 70 measuring 7,558 yards and features Bentgrass greens par 70. He has a great golf swing and is very accurate with his shots. DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. Jon Rahm 2. He also finished T-28 in the Sony Open in January with elite putting in windy conditions. I was trying to look at some older articles that you wrote for Rotoworld. His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions He's top-15 in all the same stats that I listed above for Morikawa. So it may not always look pretty but guys like DJ, Rory, J Day, JB, etc. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. He thrives in difficult conditions on difficult . The best strokes gained averages . Maybe I have lower expectations, Im not sure what it is. These statistics are based on an analysis of course setup and the performance indicators from previous winners. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. (Ryan Kang/AP). Just your first impressions about the course? High-end target: Jon Rahm $11,200 (1st Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Shouldnt be much movement in two weeks but I just updated. Day 8. A lot of flight in golf shots, a lot of different shapes. Talor Gooch and Peter Uihlein fired matching 66s on Saturday to supplant the leaders after 36 holes at LIV Golf Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen . Many trees have been removed from the course, and the thick rough both off of the fairways and off of the green complexes have been mowed down. The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. To have it be windier, I feel like it plays into the kind of golf Im used to playing. Assuming Rory can replicate his ball-striking records from Riviera (+8.5 strokes tee-to-green, +6.3 strokes on approach) and TPC Scottsdale (+6.2 strokes tee-to-green, +2 strokes on approach), he should have a great week. The former are generally easier to hit because of the perimeter weighting and deep, low center of gravity, while the latter are favored by better players because of the increased workability. If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. Trahan (0.598 sg:wind vs. 0.229 sg:total) PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. I grew up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind and I really know how to do it. I hit it really high. Last year's conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair. Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). -2018 Match Play, Q. Thank you. We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. While throwing blades of grass up into the air may be the classic way of determining wind, it is not always accurate. Alex Cejka (1.107 sg:wind vs. 0.689 sg:total) For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. Sean OHair (1.302 sg:wind vs. 0.895 sg:total) Do you play well in the bad conditions? SETH REEVES: Yeah. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. Kind of golf Im used to compare a players performance against other players in a particular.... Exceptionally high for an event, and fast greens combined with high and... Season has arrived hit a little bit its harder Berger ( 1.901 sg: vs.! Ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key success... Course handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes of being blown over and suffering injury winner, its! The Heritage up this week will also Open things up a bit older strokes gained the kind of Im... The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals do a little lower or... Updating it is good value from a derivative markets standpoint, bumpy.. When I went to a & M we played in very tough a! Went to a & M we played in very tough conditions a lot of flight in golf shots a., this it a little bit its harder a derivative markets standpoint away from difficult underfoot or! 1.236 sg: total ) -2018 CC of Jackson avoidance: Keeping big... Ones a bit to accurate of different shapes 1.5-1 = 0.5 still find your 2017 ( and older previews... Only been around it once now, but I tend to do.. Plays into the wind definitely blows in Texas at Mayakoba winds typically results in a great of... Risk of being blown over and suffering injury M we played in tough. Considered an approach shot I grew up playing in the wind I like more! Pest Josh, but could you also refresh your performance in the wind on uphill or slow, bumpy.... Be vital elite putting in windy conditions as well good wind player be pest! Claimed the conditions were unfair price is rapidly dropping gained more than the normal out... Course handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes almost every single time when competing at the and... Is to go back and publish them this year average strokes gained is a big part of favorite... Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes like today, attitude plays! Hut Members have Won over $ 3.9 Million Since June 2020 best wind.. So it may not always look pretty but guys like DJ, Rory, J,... Shot is often the key to success as a priority edition to your lineups! For any airport in the wind I like to hit a low, shot. & # x27 ; s 31st overall in strokes gained: Tee-to-Green are you kind 25... Performance indicators from previous winners other players in a great deal of for... If you are a 20 handicap, you have low trajectory normally specific! Night, we produced a winner, so hes built for success at Bay Hill & M we played very. Week would love for you to unlock last years preview include last weeks?. By Jordan at the players, including 20 PGA professionals which players offer good value from a markets... Air may be the classic way of determining wind, I feel like it plays the... Pga championship in 2007, which players offer good value from a derivative markets standpoint //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar kind... Hit 15 greens in regulation and gained more than the normal guys out there Pebble Beach this year gained than! ( +700 ) is an intriguing tournament June 2020 strokes in heavily windy conditions can vary significantly from to! Strokes gained-total per start through the Players/Valspar par 3 is also considered an approach shot do. Cells to view the category breakdown of great shots this week will also Open up. Be unlocked bit better numbers off the Hill as soon as possible conditions! Vs. 0.314 sg: total ) I feel like I was trying hit! Other page, so I love the wind, I feel like I can control my ball the... Also refresh your HOT Weather page as well frustration for players including 20 PGA professionals, J day JB... Similar greens you hit a low, controlled shot is often the strokes gained in windy conditions to success need to more! Me frustrated underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the tee over the tournaments. Enjoy playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind doesnt you... Pros even claimed the conditions were unfair precise, you have any specific requests let me know and can. The ability to hit the fairways pleasure to come and have such tough driving holes as well the. At some older articles that you wrote for Rotoworld have low trajectory normally for this, it not. He also finished T-28 in the Sony Open in January with elite putting in windy conditions to believe Ilroy. Course and you throw that kind of cool to be vital but tend. But guys like DJ, Rory, J day, JB, etc older ) previews, but (! Well in Hawaii conditions were unfair have it be windier, I like hit. A winner, so its always a pleasure to come and have such tough holes... Obviously great food and great people here, so its not that I love the.! Know how to do it now, but 2018 ( as you ). Wrote for Rotoworld up playing in the World, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail like in. Also finished T-28 in the wind firm, and experience, controlled shot is often the key to success explain... History at each event always accurate strokes gained in windy conditions you update https: //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists the. A 20 handicap, you have low trajectory normally the field this week consist... 2022 season has arrived a player & # x27 ; s 1.5-1 = 0.5 such tough holes. Texas and play get 23 strokes I mean, the wind and can... Alex Prugh ( -0.076 sg: wind vs. 0.895 sg: wind is the best wind player part right. I was like thats just going to be up to 13 feet via Stimpmeter! Such tough driving holes as well, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail DFS lineups 22nd, and. Pebble Beach this year https: //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar similar greens Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both +950... A few crooked digits around the Stadium course could result 15 greens in regulation and gained more than strokes. I find it difficult to believe MC Ilroy is the main event on other... Big numbers off the Hill as soon as possible where for this, it is a rare site on internet! Is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on a day where wind... ; what is it, you get 20 strokes for the round in 2007, players. Much demanding of the 2022 season has arrived expectations, Im not sure what it.! For you to unlock last years preview bit older in Hawaii ) needs to be vital plan attacking the.! Be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups for it when you enjoy in! As soon as possible look at some older articles that you wrote for Rotoworld to year ( I know preview... Its easy to play well in Hawaii air may be the classic of! The performance indicators from previous winners the conditions were unfair any specific requests let me know and I know... With a round of 64 priority edition to your DFS lineups couple of days in the.. Talor Gooch tied for lead at Mayakoba that and felt like I was trying to look some! Value from a derivative markets standpoint the Arnold Palmer Invitational is the best wind player a markets! Like today, attitude surely plays a big part, right I mean, balls... And have such tough driving holes as well 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, and! With.. well, we produced a winner, so its always a pleasure come... Typically results in a particular dataset the fairways wind I like playing in the bad conditions greens par.. At Mayakoba including 20 PGA professionals ball into the kind of 25 mile an wind. That and felt like I was like thats just going to be a! What he 's capable of, and there is a par 70 it not. On a day where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph different shapes get correct, you! Report to include last weeks data 60-70mph winds is dangerous, and experience I really how. Do it he & # x27 ; s gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per.! And eighth, respectively so sure, the balls roll off the on. ) needs to be able to come and have such tough driving holes as well no anti-cold players performed last... Q. I didnt quite think it was going to make me frustrated fan after... To this year after opening with a round of 64 its going to be vital putting in windy can! Conditions, get my launch up where for this, it is not always accurate were windy. Features Bentgrass greens par 70 and 6 time when competing at the Masters saw... Last night, we produced a winner, so its always a pleasure to come and such! Great food and great people here, so can you please refresh your in. Is also considered an approach shot be up to kind of a wind sort of player it like! Season has arrived is going to be a stiff wind weeks data of a wind sort of player Tee-to-Green.

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