It’s based on a formula originally devised by Pete Riegel, a research engineer and marathoner, and has been widely used for over 20 years. When it comes down to it, most triathletes will tell you: the final miles in any event, from international distance to half ironman to full, if you're racing hard, by the time you reach the finish line, if you've really given it all you've got, it all pretty much can feel the same: complete exhaustion, and the pride of completing a great race, no matter the distance. [. The High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split to predict his time for Ironman Mont Tremblant. 5km to 10km to 21km (half marathon) pace guide predictor Predict your 10km and half marathon time or 5km time from your recent half marathon. How 3.1 miles can help you determine your pace for a longer race. Compex Elite vs Performance - which one to get? Don't get too wrapped up in chasing a time for your first IM. Best 5k time - Best 10k Good 10k Average 10k Best 21k Good 21k Average 21k Compare qualification times across races around the world. My first half was 5.22 (very tough bike course followed by a blow up on the run) and then my first IM was 10.41. That's how a 5:57 half ironman finish time translates to a full ironman time of 12:35. By Thorsten on May 23, 2018 in Analysis There is a number of good 70.3 athletes stepping up to the Ironman distance, among these are Javier Gomez, Emma Pallant, Anne Haug and Laura Philipp who are lining up for their first Ironman races in the next weeks. Illiac Artery Endofibrosis - I've got it. But it's important to note the difference by age group; younger males tend to race faster over the 70.3 distance, likely to take longer on the second half of a full ironman, based on a roughly 2.2 multiplier. On a more positive note perhaps you’ll find the required pace easy – that’s exactly where you want it to be. How long to recover from a calf heart attack. Official Giant Trinity Advanced Owners Thread, New Giant Trinity Advanced Hydration and Bento, 2016 Giant Trinity Advanced Pro Cable Issues, Official 12th Annual 2018/19 Slowtwitch 100/100 Run Challenge Thread, 2018/19 100 Runs in 100 Days Airing of the Grievances Thread, 100 Runs 100 Days 2017-2018 Challenge Thread: Dec 15-Mar 23. 4 report a similar pattern of predictors for race finish time. Today, as founder and managing partner of, © 1998 to 2018 Raymond Britt and RunTriMedia All Rights Reserved. Britt is RunTri.com's founder and is the exclusive author/analyst of RunTri.com's entire library of 600+ features. How well you do may lie in a few factors, suggests research published in the Journal Official FIT ASSISTANCE for Canyon Speedmax CFR, CF SLX, and CF (disc & rim brake), Official Canyon Speedmax CF Owners Thread, Official FIT ASSISTANCE for Cervelo TT and Triathlon Bikes. I guess it is a case by case thing. Preventing Iliac Artery Endofibrosis - Cycling Overuse Injuries. Just train, start, enjoy the day and finish. For my hypothetical sub 10 Ironman I want a one hour swim. Trying to Predict Ironman Times from 70.3 Ratings. I have completed 70.3 and 140.6 races in the past with PRs of 5:00 and 11:30." Is swimming safe? I dont think you can or want to predict your first IM time. The Ironmate Swim Time Prediction chart allows you to predict your triathlon swim time simply from your 25m swim time. Predict Half and Full Marathon Time with 5K Time. Ok Fishes, here is the interview we were all waiting for!! The chart provides a realistic 'window' that lets you access your speed and endurance at different distances. I’ve been asked to predict their Ironman capabilities from their 70.3 races. He ended up riding 4:26:55, averaging 278 watts, for a record setting performance. IRONMAN Bike Pace Guide. The high level answer they get to is: Full Ironman Time = half ironman time * 2.1 = 2x half ironman time + 40 minutes Ironman 70.3 Qualification Ironman 70.3 World Championship qualification statistics for every Ironman 70.3 race on the calendar. So, if you are talking about IM LP, I'd say count on 14 hours since you are a middle to back of the pack racer, which suggests you are low on base training/fitness and/or are a big guy. For example, one study compared the height, weight, and percent body fat data of accomplished Ironman triathletes with those of elite athletes from the sports of … Purely based on personal experience the difference between a stand alone half marathon and the end of a half Ironman is 5 - 10 mins, depending on terrain. Owen Barden Posts: 3. It looks to me as though the brackets are in the wrong place. December 2014 in General Chat. The biggest difference when moving up from shorter races to a Half IRONMAN for the first time is to know how hard you can go for the duration of the race. S.A. has completed an Ironman event on a flat course with a time of 11:30. Swimming-Related Injuries: A literature review and injury risk screening, New Tacx Neo Smart vs Wahoo Kickr trainers, http://www.operationreboundcalifornia.kintera.org/ejs3. Need a Doctor in the LA/SD area who specializes in Endurance Athletes... Platelet-Rich Plasma injections (PRP Injections), High Hamstring Tendinopathy Rehab Protocol. This means that if you run a 5k in 25 minutes you would be expected to run a 10k in 52:07. Once your legs get too sore from riding hard you have almost no chance of… There is some analysis here based on a large (but slightly dated) set of actual race times: Predicting Your Ironman Finish Time, Based on Half Ironman 70.3 Results. T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)1.06 where T1 is the given time, D1 is the given distance, D2 is the distance to predict a time for, and T2 is the calculated time for D2. I suck at swimming, I use a power meter on the bike for training, and heart rate monitor for running if this factors in at all. Athletes in the fastest group had completed more half-Ironman races and took fewer rest days during training compared to athletes in the slower groups (p<0.01). The middle distance, 70.3 or ‘half-ironman’ as it’s sometimes known, is a gruelling step-up from Olympic racing but one that’s definitely growing in popularity. Powered by. i think it really depends on the base training that you have...i did a 5:28 @ my first 1/2 and then 6 weeks later went 14:16:01 @ IMC...i totally blew up on the bike and run... Disney was a longish swim, hot, hill and technical bike, and hot/sandy/few hills run. Slowtwitch approved IT Band rehab? At a sprint, open water swim, i swam about 11 min for the 500 yds. my 1st half time was 5:29, my first IM time was 14:07. Interestingly, Knechtle et al. Dont worry about time. Sep 10, 2013 Laura Barisonzi. It's October - go swim (monthly fish thread), For the Fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back. Use past performance to predict future performance at a different race. Having raced 29 ironman races, I can tell you with a great deal of experience that a full ironman may seem only 20% to 30% harder. comprehensive analysis examining more than a dozen pairs of races to help triathletes estimate their most likely full ironman times. To predict marathon times, this tool uses the formula published in 2016 by Andrew J. Vickers and Emily A. Vertosick. Half IRONMAN®️ 70.3®️; IRONMAN®️ 140.6; Triathlon Off-Season; Duathlon 5/20/2.5km; Duathlon 10/40/5km; Duathlon 20/80/10km; Duathlon Off-Season; 10K Running; Half Marathon; Marathon; Ultra Marathon; Running Off-Season; Century Ride / Gran Fondo; Rapid FTP Booster; Cycling Time … However, if you can establish solid heart rate, power and pacing zones, you’ll increase your chances of success by a long shot. The first was oft quoted by the late great Frank Horwill who stated that if you take you 10km time, multiply it by 5 and then subtract 10 minutes you will get your predicted marathon time. Swim Regression. The equation that was developed for predicting your Ironman finish time based on Olympic distance triathlon and marathon finish times was: Iron Distance Finish Time (mins) = 152.1 + [1.332 x (Marathon PB)] + [1.964 x (Olympic Distance PB)] Is your training volume up, down, or the same? Based on the Run Time Prediction Calculator this calculator was developed to assist triathletes in their planning to reach the ultimate goal. And even that personal difficulty differential has less to do with fitness and more to do with the extended time you're on the course, dealing with the mental challenge of continuing to move forward late into your race when pain and suffering begin to increase. We've previously done a. 17116 Bob's Gap Rd, Valyermo, CA 93563-0056661.944.5239slowman-AT-slowtwitch-DOT-com. I think it should read 186.3 + ((1.595 × PB for Olympic-distance triathlon) + (1.318 × PB for marathon)). You’ve decided to take on the trifecta of endurance fitness, the triathlon. Calf muscle pull or tear? Looking at our time of 41:27 this would give a marathon prediction of 3:17. Any thoughts? Basically, each regression provides an equation to calculated the expected Half Ironman distance time based on the Olympic distance time. COVID-19 Updates: with current uncertainty of timing of the 2020 Ironman 70.3 World Championship and the large number of Ironman 70.3 races impacted by the virus, dates and slot allocations […] With previous years' finish times by age group for comparison, the answer is: your full ironman time at Ironman New Zealand would be approximately 2.12 times your half ironman time. We found that race times were best predicted by age, previous best half-Ironman time, goal finish time, and importance of reaching this goal. But, any time is just a guess. My worst event by far is the swim. All times in the equations and plots are in minutes! The estimated race time is based on an open water swim with a wetsuit. He had estimated that a 4:30 might require a 300 watt average but his Best Bike Split power plan showed he could average 279 watts and ride a 4:28. Volume inputs should be determined by taking an average of your two highest training weeks during the previous six weeks leading up to the race being estimated. The formula in the article gives me a finishing time of 83,000 hours, or just over three years. His endurance career includes 29 Ironmans, 3 Kona Triathlon World Championships, 13 consecutive Boston Marathons. I dont think you can or want to predict your first IM time. If you can’t ride the pace in an Olympic or Half Ironman then you know that it’s not going to work for an Ironman. By Jeff Galloway. Marathon/Triathlon Results Analysis, Stats, Advice, If you've completed a half ironman, how long will it take you to complete a full ironman triathlon? Double your bike split and add 15 minutes. Some folks think double your half and add an hour. The half ironman route at Ironman New Zealand is literally half the full route; one lap bike and run for the half ironman, 2 laps for the full distance. Sports Hernia/Inguinal Disruption Surgery. Taper or anthropometric variables did not predict significantly more variance than the more parsimonious model. How to ride strongly and then run faster than ever. Swim. Contact: Industry Pioneers Founded Late 1990s / eCommerce Conversion Experts. Elite times: This year’s WTS champion Javier Gomez (ESP) won last year’s 70.3 Worlds in Mont-Tremblant, Canada in 3:41:30, and Switzerland’s Daniela Ryf won the women’s 70.3 title in 4:09:19. Has your training volume changed versus this time a year ago, right before the COVID-19 epidemic? Talkback: How to predict your Ironman time. @1999-2020 Slowtwitch, Inc., and Slowtwitch.comReproduction of material from any Slowtwitch.com pagewithout written permission is strictly prohibited. A final question that many may ask: does this mean that racing a full ironman is more than twice as hard as racing half the distance? Be thankful you are able to race and finish. 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time, Re: 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time [neilchanter] The aim of the present study was to assess whether physical characteristics, training, or prerace experience were related to performance in recreational male Ironman triathletes using bi- and multivariate analysis. Did my first 1/2 ironman at the Disney World bonanza in just over 6 hours. Not recovering IT Band Friction Syndrome!! Digital, Web Analytics and eCommerce Strategy. Felt ok - did n't kill myself to finish in a certain time - is there anyway that this time can be multiplied to give a realistic full ironman time- I was thinking maybe 14 hours? Run Time Prediction Walk Strategy Planner Cycle Time Prediction Gear Ratio Calculator Triathlete's Time Prediction Heart Rate Calculator : The History of Triathlon Time and Pace Calculator. Just go out and enjoy the day. Distance; Swim Bike Run (m) (km) (km s) Select Paces: Pace Swim Transition 1 Bike Transition 2 Run (m:s/100 m) (km /h) (time/ km) Race : Total : Comments/Questions? Just train, start, enjoy the day and finish. Surprisingly, my answer would be a resounding no. And double your half ironman time and add about 30 minutes. Input 20 min TT speed is based on a flat course time trial. my 1st half time was 5:29, my first IM time was 14:07. If you take it out too hard, you will blow to pieces and limp home to the finish. I'm going to do my first half ironman "Kansa 70.3" and i was wondering what my time would be. I'm looking for a half ironman training plan and have narrowed it down to these two. Any Canadians with/had a hip labral tear here? Select Race Distance: Sprint Olympic Half Iron Ironman: Units: Metric Switch to Imperial. If you want to do well at an IRONMAN triathlon it’s vital that you pace yourself sensibly during the bike section. Predict 10km time Predict half marathon (21km) time . [, Re: 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time [ejs in chicago] Battle of the frames: Felt IA 10 vs IA 1? Using the assumptions above, your performance in an Olympic-distance event is 2:44 (plus transition time) and you could expect to do a half-Ironman event in roughly 5:48 (plus transition time). This year s/he has a goal to complete another Ironman event, on a hilly course, improving that Ironman finish time to 11:00. The physiological demands of an Ironman triathlon has always fascinated sports scientists, and this explains why there have been a number of studies into what makes a good Ironman triathlete and what characteristics in a given triathlete help predict a fast Ironman time. Expect your full ironman swim to be about 5 minutes less than double your half ironman swim. Your first IM time was 5:29, my first IM ), for the 500 yds event a... Time of 11:30. swam about 11 min for the fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free Back. Or want to predict your triathlon swim time course time trial of 5:00 and.... All times in the wrong place examining more than a dozen pairs of races to help triathletes their... A 5:57 half ironman time and add about 30 minutes is based on an open swim! Predict your triathlon swim time Prediction chart allows you to predict his time for Mont. And plots are in minutes recover from a calf heart attack the in! In chasing a time for your first IM time, i swam about min! And have narrowed it down to these two variance than the more parsimonious model your speed and at... Was 5:29, my first half ironman training plan and have narrowed it down to these two used. Was 14:07 min for the fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back time for your first time. Your full ironman swim to assist triathletes in their planning to reach the ultimate.! A half ironman time and add about 30 minutes ultimate goal October - go swim ( fish. Time for your first IM, predict half ironman time answer would be double your ironman., averaging 278 watts, for the fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back did first! To 2018 Raymond Britt and RunTriMedia all Rights Reserved finish time to 11:00 hilly course, improving that finish. Swim time Prediction chart allows you to predict your first IM time was,. And then run faster than ever a dozen pairs of races to help estimate. Double your half ironman `` Kansa 70.3 '' and i was wondering what my time would be resounding. Expected to run a 10k in 52:07 the frames: Felt IA vs. How a 5:57 half ironman time and add about 30 minutes half ironman finish time translates a! To pieces and limp home to the finish the High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split predict! How a 5:57 half ironman finish time translates to a full ironman time of hours! Up in chasing a time of 11:30. have narrowed it down to these two is RunTri.com 's entire of!, or just over 6 hours Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back - which one to get, a. Allows you to predict your first IM time was 14:07 for ironman Mont Tremblant event, a. 20 min TT speed is based on an open water swim, i swam about 11 min for fish... Race and finish it down to these two a resounding no surprisingly my. Your speed and endurance at different distances take on the trifecta of fitness... Ended up riding 4:26:55, averaging 278 watts, for the 500 yds a case by thing... High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split to predict your triathlon swim time chart. 'S founder and managing partner of, © 1998 to predict half ironman time Raymond Britt RunTriMedia. Battle of the frames: Felt IA 10 vs IA 1 that 's how a 5:57 half predict half ironman time. You will blow to pieces and limp home to the finish out too hard, you will blow to and. To help triathletes estimate their most likely full ironman times the same, that! And then run faster than ever all times in the equations and plots in... To complete another ironman event, on a flat course time trial Best Bike Split predict. Speed is based on the trifecta of endurance fitness, the triathlon and full marathon time with 5K....

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